Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.006101 0.006810 0.007581 0.008484 0.009515 0.010659 0.012029
2025-03-23 0.004930 0.005887 0.007015 0.008450 0.010240 0.012417 0.015290
2025-03-30 0.004455 0.005568 0.006952 0.008817 0.011294 0.014512 0.019078
2025-04-06 0.003876 0.005012 0.006482 0.008552 0.011438 0.015389 0.021331
2025-04-13 0.003441 0.004577 0.006099 0.008323 0.011557 0.016189 0.023522
2025-04-20 0.003158 0.004309 0.005900 0.008306 0.011941 0.017376 0.026412
2025-04-27 0.003005 0.004203 0.005908 0.008572 0.012754 0.019277 0.030669
2025-05-04 0.002794 0.003989 0.005733 0.008538 0.013088 0.020453 0.033889
2025-05-11 0.002632 0.003832 0.005625 0.008588 0.013548 0.021871 0.037723
2025-05-18 0.002456 0.003637 0.005440 0.008493 0.013748 0.022860 0.040908
2025-05-25 0.002345 0.003534 0.005386 0.008602 0.014301 0.024521 0.045615
2025-06-01 0.002205 0.003372 0.005226 0.008513 0.014490 0.025535 0.049191
2025-06-08 0.002019 0.003131 0.004927 0.008173 0.014215 0.025697 0.051156
2025-06-15 0.001906 0.003002 0.004803 0.008134 0.014503 0.026998 0.055843
2025-06-22 0.001872 0.002998 0.004892 0.008485 0.015572 0.030005 0.064953
2025-06-29 0.001741 0.002822 0.004668 0.008232 0.015417 0.030442 0.068090
2025-07-06 0.001627 0.002669 0.004472 0.008013 0.015306 0.030957 0.071516
2025-07-13 0.001554 0.002580 0.004384 0.007996 0.015611 0.032430 0.077696
2025-07-20 0.001524 0.002566 0.004432 0.008251 0.016522 0.035415 0.088595
2025-07-27 0.001457 0.002482 0.004343 0.008219 0.016800 0.036945 0.095783
2025-08-03 0.001405 0.002422 0.004295 0.008266 0.017260 0.038988 0.104964
2025-08-10 0.001341 0.002333 0.004186 0.008175 0.017389 0.040211 0.111930
2025-08-17 0.001303 0.002294 0.004169 0.008279 0.017991 0.042751 0.123753